March Madness 2024 Live men s NCAA tournament projections

Brock Purdy George Kittle Tom Brady highlight stars taken on Day 3 of the NFL draft

document.body.classList.add('not-live'); window.config = { lineChartBottomTitle: "Teams not shown", timestampText: "Data updated as of", rounds: [ {}, { subHead: 'Round of 64', header: 'Chance to reach Sweet 16' }, { subHead: 'Round of 32', header: 'Chance to reach Elite Eight' }, { subHead: 'Sweet 16', header: 'Chance to reach Final Four' }, { subHead: 'Elite Eight', header: 'Chance to reach championship' }, { subHead: 'Final Four', header: 'Chance to reach championship' }, {} ] } window.teams = [ { "id": 2006, "abbreviation": "AKR", "shortDisplayName": "Akron", "nickname": "Akron", "color": "00285e" }, { "id": 333, "abbreviation": "ALA", "shortDisplayName": "Alabama", "nickname": "Alabama", "color": "9e1632" }, { "id": 12, "abbreviation": "ARIZ", "shortDisplayName": "Arizona", "nickname": "Arizona", "color": "0c234b" }, { "id": 2, "abbreviation": "AUB", "shortDisplayName": "Auburn", "nickname": "Auburn", "color": "002b5c" }, { "id": 252, "abbreviation": "BYU", "shortDisplayName": "BYU", "nickname": "BYU", "color": "003da5" }, { "id": 239, "abbreviation": "BAY", "shortDisplayName": "Baylor", "nickname": "Baylor", "color": "154734" }, { "id": 68, "abbreviation": "BOIS", "shortDisplayName": "Boise St", "nickname": "Boise St", "color": "0033a0" }, { "id": 232, "abbreviation": "COFC", "shortDisplayName": "Charleston", "nickname": "Charleston", "color": "7a2531" }, { "id": 228, "abbreviation": "CLEM", "shortDisplayName": "Clemson", "nickname": "Clemson", "color": "f56600" }, { "id": 2142, "abbreviation": "COLG", "shortDisplayName": "Colgate", "nickname": "Colgate", "color": "821019" }, { "id": 38, "abbreviation": "COLO", "shortDisplayName": "Colorado", "nickname": "Colorado", "color": "000000" }, { "id": 36, "abbreviation": "CSU", "shortDisplayName": "Colorado St", "nickname": "Colorado St", "color": "1e4d2b" }, { "id": 156, "abbreviation": "CREI", "shortDisplayName": "Creighton", "nickname": "Creighton", "color": "005ca9" }, { "id": 2168, "abbreviation": "DAY", "shortDisplayName": "Dayton", "nickname": "Dayton", "color": "004B8D" }, { "id": 2181, "abbreviation": "DRKE", "shortDisplayName": "Drake", "nickname": "Drake", "color": "005596" }, { "id": 150, "abbreviation": "DUKE", "shortDisplayName": "Duke", "nickname": "Duke", "color": "013088" }, { "id": 2184, "abbreviation": "DUQ", "shortDisplayName": "Duquesne", "nickname": "Duquesne", "color": "002D62" }, { "id": 2226, "abbreviation": "FAU", "shortDisplayName": "FAU", "nickname": "FAU", "color": "00447c" }, { "id": 57, "abbreviation": "FLA", "shortDisplayName": "Florida", "nickname": "Florida", "color": "0021a5" }, { "id": 2250, "abbreviation": "GONZ", "shortDisplayName": "Gonzaga", "nickname": "Gonzaga", "color": "041e42" }, { "id": 2755, "abbreviation": "GRAM", "shortDisplayName": "Grambling", "nickname": "Grambling", "color": "ee8601" }, { "id": 2253, "abbreviation": "GCU", "shortDisplayName": "Grand Canyon", "nickname": "Grand Canyon", "color": "522398" }, { "id": 248, "abbreviation": "HOU", "shortDisplayName": "Houston", "nickname": "Houston", "color": "c92a39" }, { "id": 47, "abbreviation": "HOW", "shortDisplayName": "Howard", "nickname": "Howard", "color": "003a63" }, { "id": 356, "abbreviation": "ILL", "shortDisplayName": "Illinois", "nickname": "Illinois", "color": "ff5f05" }, { "id": 66, "abbreviation": "ISU", "shortDisplayName": "Iowa State", "nickname": "Iowa State", "color": "822433" }, { "id": 256, "abbreviation": "JMU", "shortDisplayName": "James Madison", "nickname": "James Madison", "color": "450084" }, { "id": 2305, "abbreviation": "KU", "shortDisplayName": "Kansas", "nickname": "Kansas", "color": "0051ba" }, { "id": 96, "abbreviation": "UK", "shortDisplayName": "Kentucky", "nickname": "Kentucky", "color": "0033a0" }, { "id": 299, "abbreviation": "LBSU", "shortDisplayName": "Long Beach St", "nickname": "Long Beach St", "color": "000000" }, { "id": 2344, "abbreviation": "LONG", "shortDisplayName": "Longwood", "nickname": "Longwood", "color": "003273" }, { "id": 269, "abbreviation": "MARQ", "shortDisplayName": "Marquette", "nickname": "Marquette", "color": "003366" }, { "id": 2377, "abbreviation": "MCN", "shortDisplayName": "McNeese", "nickname": "McNeese", "color": "00529C" }, { "id": 127, "abbreviation": "MSU", "shortDisplayName": "Michigan St", "nickname": "Michigan St", "color": "18453b" }, { "id": 344, "abbreviation": "MSST", "shortDisplayName": "Mississippi St", "nickname": "Mississippi St", "color": "5d1725" }, { "id": 147, "abbreviation": "MTST", "shortDisplayName": "Montana St", "nickname": "Montana St", "color": "00205c" }, { "id": 2413, "abbreviation": "MORE", "shortDisplayName": "Morehead St", "nickname": "Morehead St", "color": "094FA3" }, { "id": 152, "abbreviation": "NCSU", "shortDisplayName": "NC State", "nickname": "NC State", "color": "cc0000" }, { "id": 158, "abbreviation": "NEB", "shortDisplayName": "Nebraska", "nickname": "Nebraska", "color": "d00000" }, { "id": 2440, "abbreviation": "NEV", "shortDisplayName": "Nevada", "nickname": "Nevada", "color": "002d62" }, { "id": 167, "abbreviation": "UNM", "shortDisplayName": "New Mexico", "nickname": "New Mexico", "color": "000000" }, { "id": 153, "abbreviation": "UNC", "shortDisplayName": "North Carolina", "nickname": "North Carolina", "color": "7bafd4" }, { "id": 77, "abbreviation": "NU", "shortDisplayName": "Northwestern", "nickname": "Northwestern", "color": "582c83" }, { "id": 2473, "abbreviation": "OAK", "shortDisplayName": "Oakland", "nickname": "Oakland", "color": "04091c" }, { "id": 2483, "abbreviation": "ORE", "shortDisplayName": "Oregon", "nickname": "Oregon", "color": "007030" }, { "id": 2509, "abbreviation": "PUR", "shortDisplayName": "Purdue", "nickname": "Purdue", "color": "000000" }, { "id": 2608, "abbreviation": "SMC", "shortDisplayName": "Saint Mary's", "nickname": "Saint Mary's", "color": "d80024" }, { "id": 2612, "abbreviation": "SPU", "shortDisplayName": "Saint Peter's", "nickname": "Saint Peter's", "color": "004CC2" }, { "id": 2535, "abbreviation": "SAM", "shortDisplayName": "Samford", "nickname": "Samford", "color": "005485" }, { "id": 21, "abbreviation": "SDSU", "shortDisplayName": "San Diego St", "nickname": "San Diego St", "color": "c41230" }, { "id": 2579, "abbreviation": "SC", "shortDisplayName": "South Carolina", "nickname": "South Carolina", "color": "73000a" }, { "id": 2571, "abbreviation": "SDST", "shortDisplayName": "S Dakota St", "nickname": "S Dakota St", "color": "0033a0" }, { "id": 56, "abbreviation": "STET", "shortDisplayName": "Stetson", "nickname": "Stetson", "color": "0a5640" }, { "id": 2628, "abbreviation": "TCU", "shortDisplayName": "TCU", "nickname": "TCU", "color": "4d1979" }, { "id": 2633, "abbreviation": "TENN", "shortDisplayName": "Tennessee", "nickname": "Tennessee", "color": "ff8200" }, { "id": 245, "abbreviation": "TA&M", "shortDisplayName": "Texas A&M", "nickname": "Texas A&M", "color": "500000" }, { "id": 251, "abbreviation": "TEX", "shortDisplayName": "Texas", "nickname": "Texas", "color": "c15d26" }, { "id": 2641, "abbreviation": "TTU", "shortDisplayName": "Texas Tech", "nickname": "Texas Tech", "color": "000000" }, { "id": 5, "abbreviation": "UAB", "shortDisplayName": "UAB", "nickname": "UAB", "color": "054338" }, { "id": 41, "abbreviation": "CONN", "shortDisplayName": "UConn", "nickname": "UConn", "color": "0c2340" }, { "id": 328, "abbreviation": "USU", "shortDisplayName": "Utah State", "nickname": "Utah State", "color": "00263a" }, { "id": 261, "abbreviation": "UVM", "shortDisplayName": "Vermont", "nickname": "Vermont", "color": "154734" }, { "id": 258, "abbreviation": "UVA", "shortDisplayName": "Virginia", "nickname": "Virginia", "color": "232d4b" }, { "id": 2681, "abbreviation": "WAG", "shortDisplayName": "Wagner", "nickname": "Wagner", "color": "00483A" }, { "id": 265, "abbreviation": "WSU", "shortDisplayName": "Washington St", "nickname": "Washington St", "color": "981e32" }, { "id": 98, "abbreviation": "WKU", "shortDisplayName": "Western KY", "nickname": "Western KY", "color": "F32026" }, { "id": 275, "abbreviation": "WIS", "shortDisplayName": "Wisconsin", "nickname": "Wisconsin", "color": "c4012f" }, { "id": 43, "abbreviation": "YALE", "shortDisplayName": "Yale", "nickname": "Yale", "color": "004a81" } ] March Madness forecast: Live projections for NCAA Tournament

The ESPN Analytics team is using live probabilities and projections to track every team's minute-by-minute, in-game chances to advance beyond the current round, for both men and women. Watch the madness unfold!

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Men's

Women's

Charts

Table

Final Tournament Projections

0-20%

20-40%

40-60%

60-80%

80-100%

Make Sweet 16

Make Final Four

Win Title

Data updated as of Methodology

Projections are updated as games progress, based on ESPN Analytics' live game win probabilities and BPI tournament projections. The result is a live representation of a team's chances by round.

More NCAA tournament links Complete March Madness coverage Tournament scores and schedule More live ESPN Analytics projections

Projections by ESPN Analytics: Hank Gargiulo, Chris Harden and Matt Morris.

Produced by ESPN Creative Studio: Heather Donahue, Jarret Gabel, Luke Knox, Elliott Muñoz, Munehito Sawada, Garrett Siegel and Rachel Weiss.

Illustrations by Louis Wes.